Probit Regression
Fit a Probit Regression of whether dependent_ticker’s return is positive on independent_tickers.
Also known as: probit model.
For more information about the method, see regression_model.get_probit_regression.
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Calculate the Probit Regression in Python
The Probit Regression is available in the Econometrics module of the open-source Finance Toolkit. Install it with:
pip install financetoolkit -U
Then call get_probit_regression as shown below.
from financetoolkit import Toolkit
toolkit = Toolkit(["AAPL", "MSFT"], api_key="FINANCIAL_MODELING_PREP_KEY")
# AAPL (the first ticker) is dependent; MSFT and Benchmark are independent
toolkit.econometrics.get_probit_regression(
independent_tickers=["MSFT", "Benchmark"], period="weekly"
)
Which returns:
| Coefficient | Std. Error | z-Statistic | P-Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | 0.0498 | 0.1266 | 0.3935 | 0.694 |
| MSFT | 15.7063 | 5.7385 | 2.737 | 0.0062 |
| Benchmark | 35.3471 | 8.1355 | 4.3448 | 0 |
Parameters
get_probit_regression accepts the following parameters:
- dependent_ticker (str | None, optional): The dependent asset (whose up/down direction is predicted). Defaults to None, meaning the Toolkit instance’s first ticker.
- independent_tickers (str | list[str] | None, optional): The independent
(predictor) asset(s). Defaults to None, meaning every other ticker in
the Toolkit instance besides
dependent_ticker. - include_benchmark (bool, optional): Whether to include “Benchmark” in the default independent ticker(s) (has no effect when independent_tickers is given explicitly). Defaults to False.
- period (str, optional): The data frequency (daily, weekly, monthly, quarterly, or yearly). Defaults to “daily”.
- column (str, optional): The historical data column to derive returns from. Defaults to “Return”.
- add_constant (bool, optional): Whether to include an intercept. Defaults to True.
- rounding (int | None, optional): The number of decimals to round the results to. Defaults to None.
Related Regression
The Econometrics module page introduces the module, and the sidebar lists all of its functions.